The Use of Monte Carlo Simulations by Using Copula algorithm for Seismic Hazard Assessment in the Iran

Document Type : Articles

Authors

International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES)

Abstract

In this article, we showed the results of pattern recognition by using numerical simulations models using Copula methods for earthquake prediction for central Alborz (Tehran region) and compared them with the results of seismogenic nodes. The goal of this paper is to identify where earthquakes with M>6.0 can occur and define the assemblage of geological -geomorphological features that discriminate such sites from areas of lower seismic potential. It is demonstrated that the synthetic clustering in space and time of earthquakes are useful for seismic hazard assessment and intermediate-range earthquake in Tehran region. In these experiments, we will present a Copula methods that can finds the unknown location of the possibility major earthquakes by using foreshocks, Seismic silence, and Doughnut pattern in this region. Our model and computer simulations obtain these synchrony results across in Tehran region located in center of Alborz in Irananian plate.

Keywords